← All articles

Rare Earths

Minamitorishima: rare earths under Japan's seabed

6 min read · Updated May 2026

Japan's rare-earth narrative centers on Minamitorishima — a remote island roughly 1,800 km southeast of Tokyo. Academic studies have estimated more than 16 million tonnes of rare-earth oxides in deep-sea mud surrounding the island, including elements critical to EV motors, defense electronics, and high-end magnets.

The resource is real. Whether it can be commercially extracted is a separate question.

Why this matters strategically

China currently dominates global rare earth supply. For Japan — a country reliant on imports for almost every critical input — having a domestic resource of this scale is a geopolitical asset, regardless of when (or whether) it can be commercialized.

The reality check

Test mining is targeted from 2026, but commercial extraction faces real challenges:

The listed-name angle

Mining-tech and offshore-system names

For Minamitorishima specifically, the watchlist should focus on companies with disclosed links to deep-sea resource surveys, slurry lifting, offshore engineering, marine construction, or metallurgical processing — not generic trading-house exposure.

Why not generic trading houses here?

Trading houses may still matter in future supply-chain finance, offtake, logistics, or overseas procurement. But unless there is a disclosed Minamitorishima project role, they are too broad for this section. The rare-earth page should stay focused on the companies with a clearer connection to the actual seabed development chain.

Separate downstream angle

TDK (6762.T) and Shin-Etsu Chemical (4063.T) remain relevant to rare-earth demand through magnets and materials, but they are better treated as downstream demand beneficiaries rather than direct Minamitorishima development names.

How to think about this: rare earths are a slow-burn structural theme, not a near-term catalyst. The 2026–2027 test-mining milestones matter, but commercialization is still uncertain. For investors, separate direct Minamitorishima mining-tech exposure from broader downstream rare-earth demand exposure.

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Disclaimer: Japan Stock Alpha is for educational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer of any kind. Past performance does not indicate future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.